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Some thoughts and reflections on transport and the Middle East crisis

Much has been said and written about the ongoing crisis brought about by the US and Israel attacking Iran and the latter retaliating. The prices of fuel have risen rapidly over the past weeks. Consequently, the prices of commodities have also risen. The Philippines is still very much dependent of fossil fuels for transportation with most travel using road-based transport. Even public transportation relies heavily on fossil fuels as buses and jeepneys are mostly using diesel engines. Even paratransit such as trikes and motorcycle taxis use gasoline.

While the energy mix in the country has become more diversified with renewables now having a substantial share, majority of power is produces using coal and natural gas. And so e-powered vehicles are also ultimately dependent on these fuels. Could we have had better transport that could have made our cities more resilient in light of the conflict in the Middle East? Probably, and if we followed and implemented the plans for mass transit systems that were laid out decades ago. Of course, this is already moot and academic given the current situation. The counterfactuals though point to better commuting conditions if projects have not been delayed or shelved.

A colleague and I were just discussing about how MRT 7 could have contributed to the reduction of car use along the Commonwealth Avenue corridor if it was completed according to the original schedule. That was 2019. Even with delays including the impact of the pandemic, it could have been completed a few years ago. If it was operational in 2023, commuters could have already shifted to rail from both private and public road-based transport modes. There was also actually a proposal for a Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) line along Commonwealth about 2 decades ago. That could have been constructed and operational ahead of Line 7 and could have already disrupted commuting preferences along the corridor if it were operated as a true BRT.

There’s just a lot of opportunities already missed that could have alleviated the fuel crisis we have now. Maybe we are really heading towards a bigger crisis when all these price increases lead to a more sweeping increase in the prices of commodities? We hope it doesn’t come to that but we seem to be helpless in this situation where we are caught unprepared for a war we are have nothing to do with.

Just keep on walking

After an eventful end to 2025 and start of 2026, I finally was able to get back to walking. I passed on January 1 as there was a haze that blanketed our area. That was due to the fireworks. With more residents in our village and surrounding areas, there has been an increase in fireworks users the past few years. Last weekend, it was nice to have better air quality for my morning walks.

Tree lined, sloping streets
Street lamps still on before 6AM

My average step count decreased last year due to a variety of factors including weather. I intend to start strong again this January and hopefully be able to sustain this for the year. It’s really a good thing for my health and wellbeing. And it’s something I would strongly recommend for others- be more active. Set some time for walking whether it’s in the morning, noon or evening.

Article share: on how car-centric cities turn allies into adversaries

Here’s a quick share of an article on how allies can turn into enemies in cities where they have bad street designs:

Divide and Conquer: How Car-Centric Cities Turn Allies Into Adversaries by Urban Cycling Institute

CRB’25 scholarship recipient Reena Mahajan argues: When people walking and cycling are pitted against each other, drivers get a free ride

Read on Substack

https://substack.com/embedjs/embed.js

To quote from the article:

“Car culture thrives when we’re too busy blaming each other to notice its grip. The more we quarrel over scraps of space, the safer its dominance remains.

People walking, people on bikes, people on scooters, people in wheelchairs, parents with prams, toddlers and children: we are natural allies. Our fight is not with each other, but with a system that has normalised highways in cities, lethal SUVs and endless parking as the status quo of urban life.

Culture shifts slowly; the design of cities even more stubbornly. But solidarity can be rebuilt, not through polite appeals, but by refusing the script. By exposing the blame games. By demanding that cars, not people, yield the space, the attention, the scrutiny.

Every quarrel between walkers and cyclists is a gift to car culture. The sooner we stop fighting each other, the sooner we can fight the real enemy.”

I must add though that there seems to be an assumption or presumption in the case of such articles that are written from the experiences of developed countries that urban planning is okay and the problem is with traffic engineering. Thus, the tendency is to make traffic engineers the bad guys here. Context is quite important because in developing countries, urban planning might be flawed from the start and the street designs are the product of poor planning. It is easy to miss that traffic engineers in a country like the Philippines do not necessarily dictate street design. It begins with the planners and architects who often are praised when things are done right but shift the blame to traffic engineers when their (planners’ and/or architects’) designs fail.

“Nobody Walks Here. It’s Too Hot or Cold or Wet or Dry.”

I’m sharing this article as it provides a clear response to the question about walking under different circumstances. Those circumstances include weather conditions. How many times have we heard people saying “people won’t walk because it’s too hot or rainy” ? Maulan (rainy)! Mainit (too hot)! And yet we find a lot of people walking, even when its extremely hot or the rains are pouring.

Source: “Nobody Walks Here. It’s Too Hot or Cold or Wet or Dry.”

Quoting from the article:

“The human ability to adapt is the key to our spectacular success on this planet. Our problem is that the people who lead our public conversations, our elites of wealth and opinion, are often some of the least adaptable people on earth. And when societies assume that we should listen to those people, we all end up internalizing the message that there’s something wrong with us if we even try to walk…

…Sometimes walking a few blocks is the key to liberty and prosperity in someone’s life. Most people do what makes sense in the place where they live. Only if we recognize that will we make the investments in urban design to make walking more bearable in extreme weather. And only then will our cities include everyone.”

Here’s another quote and a take on what certain people say that often influences our choice for walking:

“The functionality of a city, and of its transport system, arises from the sum of everyone’s choices about how to travel, not just the preferences of elites. When elites make pronouncements about what “people” will tolerate, while really speaking only of themselves, they mislead us about how cities actually succeed. They also demean the contributions of the vast majority of people who are in fact tolerating extreme weather to do whatever will give their lives meaning and value.”

The need to be alert while walking, jogging or running in campus

With the recent bad weather, I noticed a big decrease in the number of visitors to the UP Diliman campus. Most of these walk, jog or run for health or recreation. Many of these are often lost in their conversations or too focused on their activity that they become unaware of the dangers of moving under large trees whose branches might fall on them anytime. It is especially true during the wet season and when there are typhoons or storms. The water and wind often bring down the older branches and one can get serious injuries perhaps even die should a large branch fall upon them.

Campus maintenance staff pruning trees in UP Diliman

Walkers, joggers and runners (let’s also include cyclists/bikers) need to be aware of these dangers. I myself had a few near misses in the past while walking around the Academic Oval. I know people who have been injured by falling branches while they went around.

The need to be alert while walking, jogging or running in campus

With the recent bad weather, I noticed a big decrease in the number of visitors to the UP Diliman campus. Most of these walk, jog or run for health or recreation. Many of these are often lost in their conversations or too focused on their activity that they become unaware of the dangers of moving under large trees whose branches might fall on them anytime. It is especially true during the wet season and when there are typhoons or storms. The water and wind often bring down the older branches and one can get serious injuries perhaps even die should a large branch fall upon them.

Campus maintenance staff pruning trees in UP Diliman

Walkers, joggers and runners (let’s also include cyclists/bikers) need to be aware of these dangers. I myself had a few near misses in the past while walking around the Academic Oval. I know people who have been injured by falling branches while they went around.

A cityscape revisited

I was posting photos of a familiar sight along one of my walking routes in our neighborhood. Somehow, that route became less frequented as houses were constructed in what old timers here referred to as the second floor. What offered a 360 view of areas surrounding our place was now mostly inaccessible, depriving people of spectacular views.

Last Sunday, we chanced upon the sight below along another of my routes that we now seldom passed.

“It’s been raining in Manila…”

The place where I took the photo will probably also be inaccessible soon as we saw the lots being cleared for construction. We missed the views and soon they’ll be just memories or photos stored in our gadgets.

Early morning walks

I’ve been waking up earlier so I can do my morning walks before leaving to drop off our daughter to school. These days, what were bright mornings at 5:30 AM are now dark. The nights are longer as we approach December. Here is the view along my walking route.

Unlike previous mornings when I can do at least 3 rounds along my usual route, I now can only do at most 2 rounds. I guess I have to wake up earlier to add 1 or 2 rounds. Afternoons to evenings are usually rainy and prevents me from walking. I treat this as a bonus if ever we are able to take afternoon or evening walks.

Shoes for the wet season

I wrote about how a pair of shoes didn’t last long particularly for my daily walking. This time, I’m featuring a pair from a brand that I’ve been patronizing for more than 2 decades now – Merrell.

My go to shoes for the wet season are also my preferred ones for field work
These are water resistant (proven in my experience) and I usually get the ones with the vibram soles
The treads on these provide good grip on most surfaces I’m on whether in the office or in the field.

Their shoes have been very dependable and I’ve had 5 pairs over the more than 2 decades I’ve used them. That’s about 4 years per pair even considering my shoe rotation (I also have other shoes, of course. ) I would say that they’re better than the Adidas Terrex shoes I’ve had and perhaps at par with the GT Hawkins I had when I was a student in Japan. I hope the quality is maintained for these durable shoes that is my preferred pair for the wet season.

Worn down shoes

I got a pair of shoes from a shop/brand I don’t usually buy shoes from last April and used them almost daily for my morning walks. Here are photos showing the conditions now.

The bottoms are pretty worn out. I am careful during my walks as I may slip on some surfaces as the soles lose traction.

There are tears to the fabric of the upper part of the shoe where it’s connected to the soles. This is on the right shoe.

This is the tear on the left shoe.

I was hoping these would be as durable as my other shoes that I have used for my walks. Unfortunately, they are what they are as of now. I can and still use them almost everyday but am wary about their not being usable in the near future.